Kherson and Production. Sep 3, 2023 · However, at times their anger comes out, and they are angry at the work of mostly anonymous critics to try and cast the counteroffensive in a negative light. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Click to read Phillips's Substack, by Phillips P. Mar 8, 2023 · I was this week going to finish up my writings on military learning by discussing the Russian campaign against Ukrainian power generation and critical infrastructure, but the Battle of Bakhmut seems so much in the news still, that I thought it would be worth exploring just why the Ukrainians have decided to keep fighting for the town, even though on the map Ukrainian forces seem to be in a. There is a significant part of the US population that will support aid for Ukraine if they are seen as successful/likely to win. Phillips P. @PhillipsPOBrien: Ok, some people have asked for a summary of my views on war (why my analysis of the Ukraine war has been so pointed), so I thought I would make this thread with reference to. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. 1,083Likes 222Retweets. Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. ¶☼ Weekend Update #29. He is the author of How the War was Won and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. It involved a series of air/missile attacks against the Ukrainian transport net. Ready for more?. 14 January, 2022. Most of it is about the Ukrainian shooting down of the super-duper hypersonic Kinzhal. Phillips P. Jul 16, 2023 · The Ukrainian Offensive has Barely Started: And Its Only Been a Short Time Since Feb 2022. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Weekend Update #29. May 20, 2023 · Weekend Update #29. Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. Sep 7, 2023 · My personal Substack. Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. Phillips P. Weekend Update # 38. @PhillipsPOBrien: Ok, some people have asked for a summary of my views on war (why my analysis of the Ukraine war has been so pointed), so I thought I would make this thread with reference to. (Part 1) There has been a regular chorus by certain people which seems to conflate one vision of World War II with the view of Russian power today. Phillips P. Phillips P. Having painfully taken about 90% of the city, Russian forces have been struggling to take the last bits. Much more important for the course of the war, continues the general growth in the equipment being supplied to Ukraine, and what it says about Ukraine’s continuing ability to strengthen, and correspondingly Russian forces having to rely on less good equipment. About the Speakers. Here is the @TheStudyofWar map. The Ukraine-Russia War Podcast is a discussion of the most up to date and important strategic and geopolitical issues surrounding the war in Ukraine, with hosts Phillips O'Brien and Mykola Bielieskov. Subscribe to view →. Now they have to rebuild their lives and their hopes for Russia from exile. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Ive said quite alot about the latter during the past few. Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. OBrien, a Substack publication. Apr 12, 2023. In 1798, Bonaparte invades Egypt and seizes it from Ottoman rule—however he is eventually forced to flee to a large degree because the British cut off his ability to be supplied. Fifty Best Ukraine Podcasts For 2023. Ukraine trying to compensate for Russia's defensive advantages. Launched a month ago. Dec 20, 2023 · The 4 possible scenarios and the complexity of planning. It was in this substack. At just after 15:41 on the clock, Admiral Radakin gets onto the state of the Russo-Ukraine war, and its fascinating. Cathy was born into abuse that lasted over 30 years of her life. May 4. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. Dec 7, 2023 · Hi All. May 17: Phillips O’Brien & Edward Stringer, America’s Unconvincing Reasons for Denying F-16s to Ukraine. Dec 5, 2023 · ome (anonymous, always anonymous) people in the US government to blame Ukraine for the counteroffensive failing to brake through Russian lines. Even when forces create opening in the lines, which the Ukrainians did in Zaporizhzhia the other week, it is extremely difficult to exploit those openings. The Ukrainian attacks in the south and east over the last few days, recent operational strikes and comments by Ukrainian officials (including the President) about their readiness all build a picture of a large-scale 2023. Whats happening in Ukraine now is part of the inevitable process of war. Just sent out the weekend update (its free). Substack has just started this Notes feature. Click to read Eastsplaining’s Substack, a Substack publication with hundreds of subscribers. As Mussolini’s armies were driven back into Albania in 1941, Hitler wanted to stabilize the situation. Phillips P. This would both protect Ukrainian forces and allow Ukrainian attack with their own UAVs to have a chance for success. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. Thousands of paid subscribers. Subscribe to view →. The desire for F-16s was raised by politicians, military figures, civil society groups, etc. Tallahassee, FL Joined July 2009. Cross-examination of Dr. Even when forces create opening in the lines, which the Ukrainians did in Zaporizhzhia the other week, it is extremely difficult to exploit those openings. Having painfully taken about 90% of the city, Russian forces have been struggling to take the last bits. Hello and welcome to another edition of Substack Reads, your weekly digest of handpicked great writing from across Substack. Episode 1: The Ukrainian Counteroffensive. Hi Everyone, just released my weekend update (its free). 1 Fortunately for Ukraine, the Russians didn’t have enough ordnance to run a truly effective campaign. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. Take care of yourself. Phillips P. Think of it like a literate twitter, easy to use, without the neo-Nazis. Weekend Update #46. military want Ukraine to pursue a “hold and build” strategy — to focus on holding the territory it has and building its ability to produce weapons over 2024. 5,214Likes 972Retweets. To start the headlines of the New York Times this morning about Kherson. Just sent out my weekend update (for people who don't subscribe to my stuff, these are always free). Here is a link to it. This all started with an announcement by Prigozhin yesterday that the Russian army had launched a missile attack on a Wagner base—and it has snowballed. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. Weekend Update—first time I will do this on both substack and twitter. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Sep 17, 2023 · Weekend Update #46. They understand the public opinion crisis this could cause (I wrote about it in the midweek substack). OBrien | Substack Hello Everyone,The Ukraine cant win the war arguments that I've been warning about for months now are coming thick and fast. Hi everyone, I see that some very generous people have gone to substack and actually tried to donate money to me for my writings. Of course on its own, it wont affect support for Russia from China or others at all. Well the piece first talks about the depth of Russian defenses—which Im sure anyone reading this substack will know about. Jun 24, 2023 · OK we are about 12 hours into what is clearly an attempt by Yevgeny Prigozhin to topple the leadership of the Russian military (and very possibly the Russian government). What we have seen over the past year, with the exception of the Ukrainian Kharkiv operation, is that moving forward is extremely hard. If the US is prudent, it must only use its force to help those who want to fight for themselves. Weekend Update #49: You might not be interested in War, but War is interested in You. Dec 13, 2023 · Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. Much more important for the course of the war, continues the general growth in the equipment being supplied to Ukraine, and what it says about Ukraine’s continuing ability to strengthen, and correspondingly Russian forces having to rely on less good equipment. This was a campaign that the Russians waged mostly in the first six months of the war (from April through June/July seemed to be its most intense period). Click to read Phillips’s Substack, by Phillips P. It's mostly about the intelligence leaks in the USA, which strikes me as embarrassing, but of no battlefield importance. Ukraine is being careful with its HIMARs and other long range ammunition, so only. (Evan Vucci / Associated Press) I have spent the past week listening to Russian specialists discuss the coming Ukrainian offensive. Hi everyone, just sent out my weekend update. Jan 1, 2023 · 10 months ago · 93 likes · 32 comments · Phillips P. Yes, Iam that wordy!. I appreciate that and I'm honoured, but I want to keep the substack free for now, especially the weekend updates. Mar 5, 2023 · Phillips’s Newsletter Weekend Update 16: Russia's 'Massive' Offensive is a Sign of Declining Efficiency: Losing More to Take Less. Or open on web. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillips’s Newsletter. About Archive Recommendations Sitemap. Hi Everyone, just released my weekend update (its free). Weekend Update #42. OBrien Jul 12 I had hopes this morning that President Biden and other major leaders at the Vilnius NATO summit might grasp the opportunity that they have been given by assuring the Ukrainian government that they would be admitted into NATO not long after the cessation of hostilities with Russia. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. This kind of. Although severing the land link between Russia is an important aim, so is liberating the large. North Atlantic South Baltic Fella. E-Stories Article Library. Click to read Futura Doctrina, by Mick Ryan, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. Launched a month ago. Dec 31, 2022. My guess—not at all. OK we are about 12 hours into what is clearly an attempt by Yevgeny Prigozhin to topple the leadership of the Russian military (and very possibly the Russian government). OBrien So what is happening in Ukraine and what does it mean? Well, there is a large Russian offensive going on, but it reveals how much the war is shifting in Ukraine’s favor and how, apart from significant learning, the Russian military is declining in efficiency. Although severing the land link between Russia is an important aim, so is liberating the large. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. Today I share a MUST-WATCH Documentary! I watched this a few days ago and thought everything was explained very well. One extreme example was the Japanese government in World War II, which claimed to basically wipe out the US Pacific fleet in every battle. Phillips P. Donald’s Substack. So far, most have said that China was more helping around the edges. Comments - Weekend Update #13 - by Phillips P. Phillips P. Phillips P. Delved into 3 questions--the importance of Biden's visit to Kyiv, Chinese policy, and the ongoing Russian offensive. This thread is only visible to paid subscribers of Phillips’s Newsletter. OK we are about 12 hours into what is clearly an attempt by Yevgeny Prigozhin to topple the leadership of the Russian military (and very possibly the Russian government). The map changes show clear. Ukraine Diary: Reflections of the war well travelling to/in Ukraine. See new Tweets. Sep 7, 2023 · Hello Everyone, You might have seen a message that just appeared. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. Weekend Update #42. OBrien, a Substack publication. In the last few years, conventional war has returned with a vengeance. Still I don’t ge. Click to read Phillips’s Substack, by Phillips P. My personal Substack. I think I may start every weekend update from now on with what I consider the most important visual image of the week. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien An interesting story of US intelligence aid to Ukraine, which has long been suspected. Phillips P. What this new phase shows is that both this war, and Ukrainian decision-making, is following a course that was first forged. O'Brien by JD3 was anal rape. Ammunition, Airpower and the Endless Russian Offensive to take Bakhmut. Click to read Phillips’s Substack, by Phillips P. Cathy was born into abuse that lasted over 30 years of her life. They’ve been used and lets see if nuclear weapons appear. Arkady Ostrovsky travels across Europe and the Middle East speaking to free-thinking Russians who left when the shelling of Ukraine began in 2022 in this eight-part series. As Russian impetus became faltering, however, the Ukrainians started some local counterattacks to the North and South of the city—and Russian resistance seemed in small pockets to crumble. OK, Twitter followers--I think Im going to open pledges on substack and set up a subscription part of my newsletter. Save as PDF. That does not happen by accident. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien You might have seen this Russian ammunition dump be blown up last night by the Ukrainians, it reveals more than any other attack Ive seen about the state of the logistics war and the real problems the Russians face. These are hardly world shattering advances, but they show that the momentum remains with Ukraine. One extreme example was the Japanese government in World War II, which claimed to basically wipe out the US Pacific fleet in every battle. Phillips O'Brien. In particular the update looks at the question of European and US public opinion and Ukraine. The country’s people, having fought and won three major offensive campaigns in 2022, are now using a mix of old Soviet and new Western equipment to fight a campaign in the south. Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. Phillips P. Oct 17, 2023 · ATACMS have been maybe the talismanic element in this bluff. No, Putin is not "winning the war" 6 days ago | By Phillips P. The discussion here is about whether the Russians. With 2022 ending in a few hours, I thought it might be interesting to go back through a few published articles (and in one case an article that was rejected for publication) as a way of discussing how I analyzed the Russian invasion of Ukraine. OK, Twitter followers--I think Im going to open pledges on substack and set up a subscription part of my newsletter. Of course Zaluzhnyi does not want to stay locked in this form of positional war, where only incremental advances are possible. Its important to be skeptical of any government claiming losses inflicted on an enemy, historically such figures can be grossly inflated. Ready for more?. Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication. Confusing Soviet Power in World War II and Russian power today, and why that matters. Think Nelson’s other great victory, the Battle of the Nile. Subscribe to Phillips’s Newsletter to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives. 6:55 PM ∙ Jan 14, 2023. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. Thank you for reading today’s story here at Substack. The war in Ukraine has just passed the 18-month mark. Dont worry, the Weekend Update will still be free! But the other pieces I write, such as specialized commentary on the war,. Weekend Update #42. At the just completed Vilnius NATO summit, we saw maybe the best and worst of US strategy-making/execution in a dizzying few hours of twists and turns, ups and downs. I’m in continued ‘discussion’ with people here in the UK – including Professor Phillips P O’Brien here on Substack and a ‘chart topping’ popular podcast called BattleGround Ukraine (hosted by Gary Lineker’s company Goalhanger ) who routinely accept the Oryx numbers. 6:55 PM ∙ Jan 14, 2023. In particular the update looks at the question of European and US public opinion and Ukraine. Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. To understand what I mean by that, you should think of war as involving three steps. Cant say I’m loving Twitter so much these days. He was formerly at the University of Glasgow where he ran the Scottish Centre for War Studies. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien An interesting story of US intelligence aid to Ukraine, which has long been suspected. To understand what I mean by that, you should think of war as involving three steps. Maybe the silliest of these was the headline and story in the Economist which claimed that Putin seems to be "winning the war" in Ukraine presently. This narrative is coming. Aug 13, 2023 · I wrote my midweek update about the raid and what it could mean. Biden and Zelenskyy in Kyiv, February 2023. Confusing Soviet Power in World War II and Russian power today, and why that matters. O’Brien concludes by suggesting that any true understanding of the Russo-Ukraine war requires a fundamental. Episode 1: The Ukrainian Counteroffensive. There is a significant part of the US population that will support aid for Ukraine if they are seen as successful/likely to win. Timothy Snyder. In 1798, Bonaparte invades Egypt and seizes it from Ottoman rule—however he is eventually forced to flee to a large degree because the British cut off his ability to be supplied. OBrien The idea that Ukraine would emerge victorious came from a number of different assessments—that the Ukrainians were determined to fight for their independence, that they would receive aid, and that the Russian military was being grossly overrated by the analytic community. Phillips P. They even publicly released a their estimates about Russian missile and drone production—to show how closely they are tracking replacement and usage. Comments - How to Craft a Better US Foreign Policy. Sep 21, 2023 · Also. If the US is prudent, it must only use its force to help those who want to fight for themselves. "Humanity United” Movement Starts With Absolute Truth: YOUR SPIRIT IS THE ULTIMATE ANTIDOTE. OBrien I was a little mystified that serious analysts were saying that the Russian military was showing military learning, and pointed to the Russian campaign against Ukrainian power supply (which will be the subject of part 3 next week) as an example of this learning. What we have seen over the past year, with the exception of the Ukrainian Kharkiv operation, is that moving forward is extremely hard. 3K Views 48 5 244 29. Sep 21, 2023 · Also. Launched a month ago. RIP Hero. Once again, I’m starting this mid-week update with an apology. bokep jolbab, women humping a man
Hi Everyone, tomorrow is a very busy day so I am sending this weekend out on Saturday. . Phillips obrien substack
OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. To try and describe what is needed in the political systems of great powers, again I will return to what I consider the 5 great powers that have existed since the second half of the 19th Century: 1: Great Britain (1800-1943) 2: United States (1900-today) 3: Germany (1900-1944). This week there were two main issues that took people’s attention, the latest Russian missile attack on Ukrainian infrastructure/power generation and the continuation of the Battle of Bakhmut by Ukrainian forces (when many people seem to be arguing that they should be withdrawn). Now, if there is little than can be done about the direct partisan split, there is something that can be done about the other thing that really matters—and that is the perception of victory/success. This weekend update is being written on the night train as it travels from Kyiv to Warsaw. Dec 2. Phase 1: attempt at operational maneuver (starts in early June, lasts 10 days). Germany as the leading European power has special responsibility in this regard. Timothy Snyder. Always good to read your perspective on unfolding events. As Russian impetus became faltering, however, the Ukrainians started some local counterattacks to the North and South of the city—and Russian resistance seemed in small pockets to crumble. I appreciate that and I'm honoured, but I want to keep the substack free for now, especially the weekend updates. Phillips P. Good Morning Everyone--just sent out my weekend update (its free). Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. However, if much of the world was not interested in conventional war, conventional war (to steal a line that has been reputedly said Leon Trotsky) was always interested in us. Although severing the land link between Russia is an important aim, so is liberating the large. Dec 24, 2022. Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 @DefenceHQ. It was everywhere in the analysis—that Russian armed forces were easily some of the best. However the start date was pushed back by approx 2 months because of Mussolini’s catastrophic invasion of Greece. It takes on the question of whether Russia is winning the war, which some are now saying. Aug 13, 2023 · I wrote my midweek update about the raid and what it could mean. Oct 17, 2023 · ATACMS have been maybe the talismanic element in this bluff. They’ve been used and lets see if nuclear weapons appear. Artillery Row. Tried to explain why Ukraine is fighting for Bakhmut, even when their forces are in what looks like a precarious position. As Russian impetus became faltering, however, the Ukrainians started some local counterattacks to the North and South of the city—and Russian resistance seemed in small pockets to crumble. In the last few years, conventional war has returned with a vengeance. Currently, she is a medical instructor. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. The latest tweets from @PhillipsPOBrien. Follow him at @PhillipsPOBrien. Tallahassee, FL Joined July 2009. Weekend Update #49: You might not be interested in War, but War is interested in You. I had hopes this morning that President Biden and other major leaders at the Vilnius NATO summit might grasp the opportunity that they have been given by assuring the Ukrainian government that they would be admitted into NATO not long after the cessation of hostilities with Russia. They would later be instrumental in making Athens (fleetingly) the greatest naval power of the Eastern Mediterranean during the Peloponnesian War. See new Tweets. Hope that is ok! Once again, the line barely moved this week, but it might have been the most momentous week of the war since February 24, 2022. Subscribe to view →. This is shaping up to be the best few days for Ukraine for a while (or a catastrophe, but best is more likely). In March 2022 he was only one of 57 members of the House to oppose military aid—on completely specious, populist grounds. Phillips P. Launched a month ago. Even when forces create opening in the lines, which the Ukrainians did in Zaporizhzhia the other week, it is extremely difficult to exploit those openings. Weekend Update--just sent out from substack. Hi Everyone, tomorrow is a very busy day so I am sending this weekend out on Saturday. Copy link. Always good to read your perspective on unfolding events. This narrative is coming. Just sent out a substack that develops some of the ideas that I put out in the Atlantic this week--primarily that the US needs to understand that its ability to control events is weaker than it thinks. Well the piece first talks about the depth of Russian defenses—which Im sure anyone reading this substack will know about. Sep 7, 2023 · My personal Substack. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien Been watching the events of the last 18 hours closely, and have to say this looks like a far more well-planned out coup attempt than it first appeared. Click to read Futura Doctrina, by Mick Ryan, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. Nov 11 • 6 tweets • 2 min read. Just sent out my midweek substack update for subscribers. Military learning, the process of analyzing a problem, devising the right answers, coming up with a plan to put those answers into an operational plan, and then successfully executing that plan, is extremely difficult. Click to read Phillips’s Newsletter, by Phillips P. OBrien @PhillipsPOBrien. Sep 21, 2023 · Also. Phillips P. Professor of Strategic Studies, @univofstandrews. For years the Athenians had been building up a fleet of nimble and dangerous three decked warships, called triremes. Never stop. The Battle of Dienbienphu. Ukraine, so it was said, could never be given these systems because Putin might go nuclear. The New Battle of Kherson, Cluster Munitions, Erdogan snubs Putin,. That video reveals so much. Launched a month ago. Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. As we are not that long from Kyiv, we will be passing through acres of dark, rich. Phillips P. ∙ Paid. Putin is having his Stalin moment, and may regret it. First comes an outright dismissal of the country's ability to effectively deploy the weapons in question against Russian invaders. "Humanity United” Movement Starts With Absolute Truth: YOUR SPIRIT IS THE ULTIMATE ANTIDOTE. Writing about grand strategy, war, history, Romanesque and Baroque buildings I love, Sicily, and pretty much anything else that takes my fancy. Whatever intrigues me--these days the Russo-Ukraine War with regular departures. The problem, as Ive probably banged on about too much, is that the Russians have, for this precise reason made this what looks like the most well defended part of their line, and this reality has meant that the Ukrainians will have to inflict a great deal of destruction on Russian forces before they can move forward. “I don’t think it means he is. You can actually hear some of Prigozhin’s. Phillips P. OBrien May 4 Since well before February 24,2022, Ive been completely befuddled by the very strong claims made by the analytical community about how supposedly strong the Russian Army was and how supposedly weak Ukraine was. In the last few years, conventional war has returned with a vengeance. Copy link. That can be seen in decreased rates of fire across the line, and decreased attacks on targets such as Ukrainian cities. Aquí nos gustaría mostrarte una descripción, pero el sitio web que estás mirando no lo permite. These are always and will always be free, if you want to take a look at my writing. Boring War. OK, Twitter followers--I think Im going to open pledges on substack and set up a subscription part of my newsletter. 9 months ago · 77 likes · 28 comments · Phillips P. Weekend Update #29. "Humanity United” Movement Starts With Absolute Truth: YOUR SPIRIT IS THE ULTIMATE ANTIDOTE. Just sent out a substack that develops some of the ideas that I put out in the Atlantic this week--primarily that the US needs to understand that its ability to control events is weaker than it thinks. Its only be a very short time since February 2022. OBrien, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. 9 months ago · 147 likes · 24 comments · Phillips P. Why, because the Ukrainians are looking at the whole battle line from the Black Sea to the border of Belgorod Oblast as one whole, and within that are desperate to try and create an opening. Some thoughts on Ukraine's preparation for the next phase of the war. Weekend Update—first time I will do this on both substack and twitter. The desire for F-16s was raised by politicians, military figures, civil society groups, etc. Good morning. Phillips P. Don't get tired. Phillips P. Subscribe to view →. Research output : Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review Herbert Hoover, Anglo-American relations and republican party politics in the 1920s. . pdf books free download